مدرسة الاحتمالات

Talia Gibson v Naomi Osaka

البداية: 2026-03-21 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Talia Gibson (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.57%3.07السعر العادل
EV +14.64%
الأفضلية +4.16%
Kelly +5.81%
النمو +0.851%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.52

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.97%31.97%33.18%35.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.652.892.843.5237.74%34.58%35.21%28.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Naomi Osaka (الضيف)

التنبؤ 67.43%1.48السعر العادل
EV -0.875%
الأفضلية -0.595%
Kelly -1.86%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.47

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.63%68.03%66.82%73.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.401.411.4776.92%71.40%70.92%68.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV +14.64%E +4.16%K +5.81%G +0.851%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:55
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +13.99%E +4.00%K +5.60%G +0.783%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:55
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:55
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:55
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:55
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -8.97%E -6.64%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:54
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 17:55
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +0.961%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:55
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +0.961%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:54
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +0.961%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:55
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:54
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:55
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:55
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.30%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:54
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.30%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:54
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:54
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:55
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.97%E -6.64%K -25.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:55
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 17:55
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -6.86%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -0.875%E -0.595%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 17:39
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:54
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:54
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:54
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:54
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 13:40
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 13:40
SportsBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -8.16%E -2.89%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:49
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -8.48%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:44
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 15:25
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 15:55
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 16:09
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:50
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:54
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 09:05
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:54
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.79%E -3.53%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.55%E -1.06%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 17:49
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:09
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:54
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:54
Unibet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 34.77%EV -11.41%E -4.20%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.23%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 17:30
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:59
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 16:34
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 03:45
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:53
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 13:39
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:37
Fanatics2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:54
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 20:44
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:35
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 17:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-03-21 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-21 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-21 17:55
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%1.6%2026-03-21 17:53
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%2.2%2026-03-21 17:55
Novig3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%2.9%2026-03-21 17:54
ProphetX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%5.3%2026-03-21 17:55