L’École des cotes

Talia Gibson v Naomi Osaka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Talia Gibson (Local)

Prévision 32.57%3.07cote équitable
EV +14.64%
Avantage +4.16%
Kelly +5.81%
Croissance +0.851%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.97%31.97%33.18%35.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.892.843.5237.74%34.58%35.21%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Naomi Osaka (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.43%1.48cote équitable
EV -0.875%
Avantage -0.595%
Kelly -1.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.63%68.03%66.82%73.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.401.411.4776.92%71.40%70.92%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV +14.64%E +4.16%K +5.81%G +0.851%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:55
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +13.99%E +4.00%K +5.60%G +0.783%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:55
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:55
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:55
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:55
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -8.97%E -6.64%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:54
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 17:55
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +0.961%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:55
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +0.961%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:54
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +0.961%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:55
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:54
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:55
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:55
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.30%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:54
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.30%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:54
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:54
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:55
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.97%E -6.64%K -25.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:55
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 17:55
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -6.86%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -0.875%E -0.595%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 17:39
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:54
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:54
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:54
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:54
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 13:40
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 13:40
SportsBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -8.16%E -2.89%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:49
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -8.48%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:44
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 15:25
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 15:55
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 16:09
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:50
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:54
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 09:05
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:54
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.79%E -3.53%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.55%E -1.06%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 17:49
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:09
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:54
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:54
Unibet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 34.77%EV -11.41%E -4.20%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.23%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 17:30
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:59
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 16:34
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 03:45
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:53
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 13:39
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:37
Fanatics2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:54
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 20:44
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:35
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 17:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-03-21 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-21 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-21 17:55
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%1.6%2026-03-21 17:53
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%2.2%2026-03-21 17:55
Novig3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%2.9%2026-03-21 17:54
ProphetX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%5.3%2026-03-21 17:55