Language:English
Sonay Kartal v Peyton Stearns
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sonay Kartal (Local)
Prediction 59.37%1.68fair odd
EV -0.260%
Edge -0.155%
Kelly -0.382%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.38%59.26%61.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.591.601.6866.23%62.83%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Peyton Stearns (Visit)
Prediction 40.63%2.46fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +0.631%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.13%40.62%40.74%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.322.5045.45%42.94%43.10%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sonay Kartal (Local): 59.37%; Peyton Stearns (Visit): 40.63%. For Peyton Stearns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +1.58%E +0.631%K +1.05%G +0.017% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 08:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.454%E -0.185%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-17 05:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -10.35%E -6.86%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -0.454%E -0.185%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 06:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.08%E -0.863%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-16 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 09:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-16 13:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-16 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-16 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-16 23:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.04%E -1.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-16 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.04%E -1.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-16 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-16 12:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-16 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 18:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -0.260%E -0.155%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-16 11:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 03:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 03:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 03:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 03:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 03:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 03:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 03:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 03:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 03:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 03:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 03:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 03:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 03:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 03:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-16 19:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 03:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 03:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 21:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.10%EV -9.76%E -6.42%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.90%EV -6.96%E -3.04%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 05:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.36%E -3.23%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 03:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.36%E -3.23%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 03:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-16 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-16 12:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-16 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.854%E -0.511%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.61%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91% | 4.5% | 2026-03-16 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05% | 11.0% | 2026-03-17 06:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05% | 11.0% | 2026-03-17 06:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05% | 11.0% | 2026-03-17 06:48 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21% | 13.4% | 2026-03-17 09:05 |