L’École des cotes

Sonay Kartal v Peyton Stearns

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-18 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sonay Kartal (Local)

Prévision 59.37%1.68cote équitable
EV -0.260%
Avantage -0.155%
Kelly -0.382%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%59.38%59.26%61.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.591.601.6866.23%62.83%62.50%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Peyton Stearns (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.63%2.46cote équitable
EV +1.58%
Avantage +0.631%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.13%40.62%40.74%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.332.322.5045.45%42.94%43.10%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +1.58%E +0.631%K +1.05%G +0.017%4.5%2026-03-17 08:54
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.454%E -0.185%K -0.313%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-17 05:54
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -10.35%E -6.86%K -20.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -0.454%E -0.185%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 06:10
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.08%E -0.863%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-16 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 06:14
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 06:14
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 09:04
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-16 13:15
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-16 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-16 14:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-16 23:45
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 14:24
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 11:40
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.04%E -1.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-16 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.04%E -1.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-16 23:05
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 00:10
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 12:20
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 12:20
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 18:10
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -0.260%E -0.155%K -0.382%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-16 11:39
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:09
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:15
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:15
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:15
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:15
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 03:15
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 19:44
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 19:40
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 03:55
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 03:45
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 21:05
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.10%EV -9.76%E -6.42%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.90%EV -6.96%E -3.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 05:39
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.36%E -3.23%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 03:10
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.36%E -3.23%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 03:10
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 20:35
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 20:35
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 20:35
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 12:40
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 12:20
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.854%E -0.511%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.61%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%4.5%2026-03-16 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%11.0%2026-03-17 06:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%11.0%2026-03-17 06:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%11.0%2026-03-17 06:48
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%13.4%2026-03-17 09:05