A Escola das Odds

Sonay Kartal v Peyton Stearns

Início: 2026-03-18 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sonay Kartal (Local)

Previsão 59.37%1.68odd justa
EV -0.260%
Vantagem -0.155%
Kelly -0.382%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%59.38%59.26%61.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.511.591.601.6866.23%62.83%62.50%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Peyton Stearns (Visitante)

Previsão 40.63%2.46odd justa
EV +1.58%
Vantagem +0.631%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.13%40.62%40.74%43.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.332.322.5045.45%42.94%43.10%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +1.58%E +0.631%K +1.05%G +0.017%4.5%2026-03-17 08:54
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.454%E -0.185%K -0.313%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-17 05:54
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -10.35%E -6.86%K -20.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -0.454%E -0.185%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 06:10
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.08%E -0.863%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-16 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 06:14
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 06:14
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 09:04
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-16 13:15
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-16 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-16 14:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-16 23:45
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 14:24
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 11:40
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.04%E -1.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-16 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.04%E -1.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-16 23:05
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 00:10
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 12:20
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 12:20
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 18:10
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -0.260%E -0.155%K -0.382%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-16 11:39
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:09
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:15
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:15
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:15
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:15
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 03:10
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 03:15
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 19:44
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 19:40
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 03:55
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 03:45
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 21:05
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.10%EV -9.76%E -6.42%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.90%EV -6.96%E -3.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 05:39
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.36%E -3.23%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 03:10
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.36%E -3.23%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 03:10
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 20:35
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.20%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 20:35
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 20:35
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 12:40
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.58%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 12:20
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.854%E -0.511%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.61%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 19:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%4.5%2026-03-16 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%11.0%2026-03-17 06:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%11.0%2026-03-17 06:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%11.0%2026-03-17 06:48
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%13.4%2026-03-17 09:05