Language:English
Magda Linette v Varvara Gracheva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Magda Linette (Local)
Prediction 53.37%1.87fair odd
EV +0.868%
Edge +0.459%
Kelly +0.976%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.52%53.22%53.40%55.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.761.8960.61%56.65%56.82%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Varvara Gracheva (Visit)
Prediction 46.63%2.14fair odd
EV +0.722%
Edge +0.334%
Kelly +0.622%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.62%46.78%46.60%49.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.042.1652.36%49.34%49.02%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Magda Linette (Local): 53.37%; Varvara Gracheva (Visit): 46.63%. For Magda Linette (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.868%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.868%E +0.459%K +0.976%G +0.008% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -10.00%E -5.18%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.868%E +0.459%K +0.976%G +0.008% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -10.00%E -5.18%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -0.199%E -0.106%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -5.81%E -2.87%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-17 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.33%E -1.28%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.94%E -5.73%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.08%E -0.989%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.81%E -2.87%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.67%E -3.87%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.07%E -4.65%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.47%E -2.50%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -10.47%E -5.45%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 17:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.67%E -3.87%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 17:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 17:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +0.722%E +0.334%K +0.622%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.08%E -0.989%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.74%E -5.11%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.07%E -4.65%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.27%E -5.45%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -11.94%E -7.24%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -7.21%E -3.62%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-17 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 0.3% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 0.3% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-03-17 17:43 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 2.4% | 2026-03-17 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.31% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.69% | 10.8% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |