La scuola delle quote

Magda Linette v Varvara Gracheva

Inizio: 2026-03-17 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Magda Linette (Casa)

Previsione 53.37%1.87quota equa
EV +0.868%
Vantaggio +0.459%
Kelly +0.976%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.52%53.22%53.40%55.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.771.761.8960.61%56.65%56.82%52.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Varvara Gracheva (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.63%2.14quota equa
EV +0.722%
Vantaggio +0.334%
Kelly +0.622%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.62%46.78%46.60%49.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.032.042.1652.36%49.34%49.02%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.868%E +0.459%K +0.976%G +0.008%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -10.00%E -5.18%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.868%E +0.459%K +0.976%G +0.008%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -10.00%E -5.18%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:55
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -0.199%E -0.106%K -0.229%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -5.81%E -2.87%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-17 17:50
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.33%E -1.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.94%E -5.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 17:49
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.08%E -0.989%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 17:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:05
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.81%E -2.87%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:55
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:10
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.67%E -3.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.07%E -4.65%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.47%E -2.50%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 17:05
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -10.47%E -5.45%K -11.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 17:15
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 17:05
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 17:05
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 17:54
Betr (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:50
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:55
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.67%E -3.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 17:55
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 17:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:30
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:45
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:35
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:34
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 17:55
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +0.722%E +0.334%K +0.622%G +0.004%3.8%2026-03-17 17:15
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:45
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 17:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.08%E -0.989%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 17:05
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:45
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:45
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.74%E -5.11%K -12.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.07%E -4.65%K -9.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.27%E -5.45%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:05
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -11.94%E -7.24%K -18.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -7.21%E -3.62%K -7.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-17 17:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-03-17 17:55
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-03-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-03-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-03-17 17:55
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-03-17 17:43
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-03-17 17:50
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 49.31%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.69%10.8%2026-03-17 17:55