La escuela de los momios

Magda Linette v Varvara Gracheva

Inicio: 2026-03-17 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Magda Linette (Local)

Predicción 53.37%1.87momio equitativo
EV +0.868%
Ventaja +0.459%
Kelly +0.976%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.52%53.22%53.40%55.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.771.761.8960.61%56.65%56.82%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Varvara Gracheva (Visitante)

Predicción 46.63%2.14momio equitativo
EV +0.722%
Ventaja +0.334%
Kelly +0.622%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.62%46.78%46.60%49.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.032.042.1652.36%49.34%49.02%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.868%E +0.459%K +0.976%G +0.008%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -10.00%E -5.18%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.868%E +0.459%K +0.976%G +0.008%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -10.00%E -5.18%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:55
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -0.199%E -0.106%K -0.229%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -5.81%E -2.87%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-17 17:50
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.33%E -1.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.94%E -5.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 17:49
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.08%E -0.989%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 17:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:05
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.81%E -2.87%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:55
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:10
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.67%E -3.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.07%E -4.65%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.47%E -2.50%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 17:05
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -10.47%E -5.45%K -11.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 17:15
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 17:05
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 17:05
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 17:54
Betr (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:50
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:55
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.67%E -3.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 17:55
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 17:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:30
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:45
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:35
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:34
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 17:55
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +0.722%E +0.334%K +0.622%G +0.004%3.8%2026-03-17 17:15
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:45
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 17:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.08%E -0.989%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 17:05
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:45
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:45
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.74%E -5.11%K -12.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.07%E -4.65%K -9.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.27%E -5.45%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:05
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -11.94%E -7.24%K -18.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -7.21%E -3.62%K -7.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-17 17:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-03-17 17:55
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-03-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-03-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-03-17 17:55
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-03-17 17:43
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-03-17 17:50
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 49.31%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.69%10.8%2026-03-17 17:55