L’École des cotes

Magda Linette v Varvara Gracheva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Magda Linette (Local)

Prévision 53.37%1.87cote équitable
EV +0.868%
Avantage +0.459%
Kelly +0.976%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.52%53.22%53.40%55.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.771.761.8960.61%56.65%56.82%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Varvara Gracheva (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.63%2.14cote équitable
EV +0.722%
Avantage +0.334%
Kelly +0.622%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.62%46.78%46.60%49.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.032.042.1652.36%49.34%49.02%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.868%E +0.459%K +0.976%G +0.008%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -10.00%E -5.18%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.868%E +0.459%K +0.976%G +0.008%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -10.00%E -5.18%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:55
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -0.199%E -0.106%K -0.229%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -5.81%E -2.87%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-17 17:50
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.33%E -1.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.94%E -5.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 17:49
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.08%E -0.989%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 17:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:05
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.81%E -2.87%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:55
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:10
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.67%E -3.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.93%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.07%E -4.65%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.47%E -2.50%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 17:05
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -10.47%E -5.45%K -11.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 17:15
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 17:05
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 17:05
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 17:54
Betr (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:50
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:55
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.67%E -3.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 17:55
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 17:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:30
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:55
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:45
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:35
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:34
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 17:55
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +0.722%E +0.334%K +0.622%G +0.004%3.8%2026-03-17 17:15
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:45
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 17:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.08%E -0.989%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 17:05
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:45
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:45
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.74%E -5.11%K -12.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.07%E -4.65%K -9.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.27%E -5.45%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:05
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -11.94%E -7.24%K -18.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -7.21%E -3.62%K -7.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-17 17:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-03-17 17:55
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-03-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-03-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-03-17 17:55
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-03-17 17:43
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-03-17 17:50
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 49.31%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.69%10.8%2026-03-17 17:55