Language:English
Xinyu Wang v Laura Samson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Xinyu Wang (Local)
Prediction 52.81%1.89fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.722%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%53.16%52.63%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.791.801.9264.52%55.75%55.56%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Laura Samson (Visit)
Prediction 47.19%2.12fair odd
EV +8.55%
Edge +3.72%
Kelly +6.58%
Growth +0.562%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%46.84%47.37%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.971.962.3056.18%50.65%51.02%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xinyu Wang (Local): 52.81%; Laura Samson (Visit): 47.19%. For Laura Samson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -17.10%E -10.89%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +8.55%E +3.72%K +6.58%G +0.562% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:33 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -18.15%E -11.71%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +8.55%E +3.72%K +6.58%G +0.562% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -10.23%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV +4.77%E +2.15%K +3.91%G +0.187% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 10:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -11.82%E -7.08%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +3.83%E +1.74%K +3.19%G +0.122% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -10.76%E -6.37%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV +0.525%E +0.247%K +0.465%G +0.002% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.891%E -0.424%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.891%E -0.424%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.82%E -7.08%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.891%E -0.424%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 10:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.84%E -1.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 10:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 10:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.23%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 10:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.42%E -2.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -5.14%E -2.56%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 10:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 10:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 10:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.54%E -3.69%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.55%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.55%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.54%E -3.69%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.55%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.54%E -3.69%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.55%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.25%E -0.671%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -7.50%E -3.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 10:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -4.42%E -2.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.48%E -3.06%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.48%E -3.06%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.59%E -4.34%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 10:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.70%E -5.67%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.70%E -5.67%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -5.48%E -3.06%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -5.48%E -3.06%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.06%E -4.01%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -7.06%E -4.01%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.330%E +0.173%K +0.366%G +0.001% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.33%E -5.44%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +1.39%E +0.722%K +1.51%G +0.021% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -11.27%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +1.39%E +0.722%K +1.51%G +0.021% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -11.27%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +1.39%E +0.722%K +1.51%G +0.021% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -11.27%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -0.727%E -0.386%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -11.27%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -9.18%E -5.33%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.04%EV -12.22%E -6.57%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV +0.330%E +0.173%K +0.366%G +0.001% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV +0.330%E +0.173%K +0.366%G +0.001% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -0.199%E -0.105%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.858%E +0.449%K +0.942%G +0.008% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -13.63%E -7.45%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -1.25%E -0.671%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -13.63%E -7.45%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -13.63%E -7.45%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 10:28 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -15.99%E -8.98%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 1.5% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |