مدرسة الاحتمالات

Xinyu Wang v Laura Samson

البداية: 2026-04-23 10:38 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Xinyu Wang (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.81%1.89السعر العادل
EV +1.39%
الأفضلية +0.722%
Kelly +1.51%
النمو +0.021%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.93%53.16%52.63%59.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.791.801.9264.52%55.75%55.56%52.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Laura Samson (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.19%2.12السعر العادل
EV +8.55%
الأفضلية +3.72%
Kelly +6.58%
النمو +0.562%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.26%46.84%47.37%51.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.781.971.962.3056.18%50.65%51.02%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -17.10%E -10.89%K -29.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +8.55%E +3.72%K +6.58%G +0.562%7.2%2026-04-23 10:33
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -18.15%E -11.71%K -33.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +8.55%E +3.72%K +6.58%G +0.562%8.0%2026-04-23 10:35
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -10.23%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV +4.77%E +2.15%K +3.91%G +0.187%3.9%2026-04-23 10:30
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -11.82%E -7.08%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +3.83%E +1.74%K +3.19%G +0.122%5.3%2026-04-23 10:33
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -10.76%E -6.37%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV +0.525%E +0.247%K +0.465%G +0.002%6.1%2026-04-23 10:34
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.891%E -0.424%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 10:34
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.891%E -0.424%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 10:14
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.82%E -7.08%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.891%E -0.424%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 10:30
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.84%E -1.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 10:25
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 10:15
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.23%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 10:34
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 10:14
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.42%E -2.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -5.14%E -2.56%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:34
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 10:14
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 10:15
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 10:34
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 10:15
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.54%E -3.69%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 10:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 10:35
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.55%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:34
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.55%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 10:15
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.54%E -3.69%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.55%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:34
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.54%E -3.69%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.55%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:14
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:34
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:34
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:34
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.25%E -0.671%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -7.50%E -3.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 10:25
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -4.42%E -2.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 10:34
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.48%E -3.06%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:34
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.48%E -3.06%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:34
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.59%E -4.34%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 10:14
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.70%E -5.67%K -13.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 10:34
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.70%E -5.67%K -13.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 10:35
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -5.48%E -3.06%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 10:34
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -5.48%E -3.06%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 10:34
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.06%E -4.01%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 10:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:35
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:15
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:35
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -7.06%E -4.01%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 10:34
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.330%E +0.173%K +0.366%G +0.001%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.33%E -5.44%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:35
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +1.39%E +0.722%K +1.51%G +0.021%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -11.27%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:35
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +1.39%E +0.722%K +1.51%G +0.021%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -11.27%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:35
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +1.39%E +0.722%K +1.51%G +0.021%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -11.27%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:35
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -0.727%E -0.386%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -11.27%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:25
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -9.18%E -5.33%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.04%EV -12.22%E -6.57%K -14.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 10:34
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV +0.330%E +0.173%K +0.366%G +0.001%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 10:35
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV +0.330%E +0.173%K +0.366%G +0.001%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 10:35
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -0.199%E -0.105%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:35
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.858%E +0.449%K +0.942%G +0.008%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -13.63%E -7.45%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:35
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -1.25%E -0.671%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -13.63%E -7.45%K -16.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 10:35
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -13.63%E -7.45%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 10:28
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -15.99%E -8.98%K -20.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 10:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-23 10:35
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-04-23 10:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%2.9%2026-04-23 10:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%5.2%2026-04-23 10:34
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%6.8%2026-04-23 10:34
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%7.5%2026-04-23 10:35