L’École des cotes

Xinyu Wang v Laura Samson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 10:38 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Prévision 52.81%1.89cote équitable
EV +1.39%
Avantage +0.722%
Kelly +1.51%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.93%53.16%52.63%59.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.791.801.9264.52%55.75%55.56%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Laura Samson (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.19%2.12cote équitable
EV +8.55%
Avantage +3.72%
Kelly +6.58%
Croissance +0.562%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.26%46.84%47.37%51.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.971.962.3056.18%50.65%51.02%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -17.10%E -10.89%K -29.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +8.55%E +3.72%K +6.58%G +0.562%7.2%2026-04-23 10:33
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -18.15%E -11.71%K -33.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +8.55%E +3.72%K +6.58%G +0.562%8.0%2026-04-23 10:35
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -10.23%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV +4.77%E +2.15%K +3.91%G +0.187%3.9%2026-04-23 10:30
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -11.82%E -7.08%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +3.83%E +1.74%K +3.19%G +0.122%5.3%2026-04-23 10:33
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -10.76%E -6.37%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV +0.525%E +0.247%K +0.465%G +0.002%6.1%2026-04-23 10:34
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.891%E -0.424%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 10:34
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.891%E -0.424%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 10:14
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.82%E -7.08%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.891%E -0.424%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 10:30
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.84%E -1.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 10:25
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 10:15
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.23%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 10:34
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 10:14
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.42%E -2.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -5.14%E -2.56%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:34
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 10:14
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 10:15
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 10:34
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 10:15
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.54%E -3.69%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 10:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 10:35
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.55%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:34
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.55%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 10:15
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.54%E -3.69%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.55%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:34
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.54%E -3.69%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.55%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:14
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:34
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:34
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:34
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.25%E -0.671%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -7.50%E -3.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 10:25
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -4.42%E -2.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 10:34
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.48%E -3.06%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:34
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.48%E -3.06%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:34
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.59%E -4.34%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 10:14
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.70%E -5.67%K -13.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 10:34
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.70%E -5.67%K -13.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 10:35
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -5.48%E -3.06%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 10:34
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -5.48%E -3.06%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 10:34
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.06%E -4.01%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 10:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:35
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:15
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:35
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -7.06%E -4.01%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 10:34
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.330%E +0.173%K +0.366%G +0.001%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.33%E -5.44%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:35
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +1.39%E +0.722%K +1.51%G +0.021%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -11.27%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:35
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +1.39%E +0.722%K +1.51%G +0.021%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -11.27%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:35
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +1.39%E +0.722%K +1.51%G +0.021%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -11.27%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:35
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -0.727%E -0.386%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -11.27%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:25
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -9.18%E -5.33%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.04%EV -12.22%E -6.57%K -14.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 10:34
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV +0.330%E +0.173%K +0.366%G +0.001%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 10:35
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV +0.330%E +0.173%K +0.366%G +0.001%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 10:35
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -0.199%E -0.105%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:35
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.858%E +0.449%K +0.942%G +0.008%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -13.63%E -7.45%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:35
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -1.25%E -0.671%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -13.63%E -7.45%K -16.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 10:35
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -13.63%E -7.45%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 10:28
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -15.99%E -8.98%K -20.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 10:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-23 10:35
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-04-23 10:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%2.9%2026-04-23 10:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%5.2%2026-04-23 10:34
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%6.8%2026-04-23 10:34
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%7.5%2026-04-23 10:35