Language:English
Simona Waltert v Jelena Ostapenko
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Simona Waltert (Local)
Prediction 41.67%2.40fair odd
EV +0.018%
Edge +0.007%
Kelly +0.013%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.70%41.77%41.56%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.282.4046.51%44.13%43.86%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jelena Ostapenko (Visit)
Prediction 58.33%1.71fair odd
EV -0.846%
Edge -0.498%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%58.23%58.44%60.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.631.7064.52%61.36%61.35%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Simona Waltert (Local): 41.67%; Jelena Ostapenko (Visit): 58.33%. For Simona Waltert (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.3996. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.4000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.018%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +0.018%E +0.007%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -7.85%E -4.97%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -0.399%E -0.167%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.65%E -0.699%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.65%E -0.699%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.07%E -0.879%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.01%E -1.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 19:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 02:16 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 21:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.59%E -6.19%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 21:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -0.846%E -0.498%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 19:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 19:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 19:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 11:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -6.65%E -2.97%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 01:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.07%E -3.17%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.07%E -3.17%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -7.48%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.01%E -1.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.01%E -1.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.18%E -1.92%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 19:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 23:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.40%E -4.84%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.43%E -0.846%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 1.5% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |