A Escola das Odds

Simona Waltert v Jelena Ostapenko

Início: 2026-04-24 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Simona Waltert (Local)

Previsão 41.67%2.40odd justa
EV +0.018%
Vantagem +0.007%
Kelly +0.013%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.70%41.77%41.56%44.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.272.282.4046.51%44.13%43.86%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jelena Ostapenko (Visitante)

Previsão 58.33%1.71odd justa
EV -0.846%
Vantagem -0.498%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.99%58.23%58.44%60.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.631.631.7064.52%61.36%61.35%58.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +0.018%E +0.007%K +0.013%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -7.85%E -4.97%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:40
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -0.399%E -0.167%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 19:04
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.65%E -0.699%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.65%E -0.699%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 19:00
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.07%E -0.879%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 21:35
GTbets2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:44
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.01%E -1.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 19:09
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 02:16
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 21:34
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:05
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 12:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:19
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:19
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:19
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:59
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.59%E -6.19%K -17.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:10
PointsBet (AU)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:34
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:49
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:50
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:50
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:50
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:50
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:50
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:49
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:49
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:50
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:50
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:49
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:49
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:49
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -0.846%E -0.498%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 12:15
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 19:10
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 19:09
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 19:10
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:45
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:04
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:49
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:35
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:59
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 19:09
Unibet (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -6.65%E -2.97%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 01:29
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.07%E -3.17%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:50
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.07%E -3.17%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:49
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -7.48%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:09
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.01%E -1.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.01%E -1.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:39
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:00
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.18%E -1.92%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:15
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:09
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 23:20
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:05
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 20:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 19:04
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 19:04
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.40%E -4.84%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.43%E -0.846%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-04-24 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-04-24 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-04-24 00:35
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-04-24 00:35
Novig2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%1.5%2026-04-24 03:15
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.3%2026-04-24 02:40