Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shuai Zhang v Eva Lys

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 09:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Prediction 33.64%2.97fair odd
EV +14.38%
Edge +4.23%
Kelly +5.99%
Growth +0.862%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%33.31%33.87%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.772.753.4040.00%36.16%36.36%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eva Lys (Visit)

Prediction 66.36%1.51fair odd
EV +0.200%
Edge +0.132%
Kelly +0.392%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%66.69%66.13%72.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.421.431.5175.76%70.22%69.93%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shuai Zhang (Local): 33.64%; Eva Lys (Visit): 66.36%. For Shuai Zhang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +14.38%E +4.23%K +5.99%G +0.862%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -12.41%E -9.40%K -38.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 09:19
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.927%E +0.309%K +0.464%G +0.004%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:20
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.927%E +0.309%K +0.464%G +0.004%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.42%E -7.72%K -29.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 09:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.927%E +0.309%K +0.464%G +0.004%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.42%E -7.72%K -29.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 09:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV -0.082%E -0.028%K -0.042%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -11.74%E -8.83%K -35.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 09:17
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 08:59
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 09:19
Fliff🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -11.08%E -8.27%K -32.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:20
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -3.11%E -1.08%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.75%E -7.17%K -27.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 09:19
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -3.45%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 09:00
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 09:20
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 09:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 09:20
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 09:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 09:20
DraftKings🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -6.14%E -2.20%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:19
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:05
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:00
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 09:20
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 09:20
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 09:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 09:20
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:20
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
SportsBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -8.83%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV +0.200%E +0.132%K +0.392%G +0.001%3.3%2026-04-22 09:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV +0.200%E +0.132%K +0.392%G +0.001%3.3%2026-04-22 09:00
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 09:00
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 09:19
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:59
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 09:14
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 09:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 08:59
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:19
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:19
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.44%E -4.56%K -15.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 09:20
GTbets🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -9.50%E -3.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 08:58
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -10.85%E -4.09%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -0.464%E -0.309%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 09:05
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.85%E -4.09%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 09:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.09%EV -11.52%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.91%EV -9.75%E -7.17%K -27.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 09:20
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -11.86%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -0.464%E -0.309%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 09:00
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -11.86%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 09:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -12.53%E -4.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -6.44%E -4.56%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 09:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.89%E -6.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:00
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.89%E -6.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-04-22 09:20
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-04-22 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-04-22 09:20
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-04-22 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%3.2%2026-04-22 09:20
Novig2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%7.1%2026-04-22 09:20