مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shuai Zhang v Eva Lys

البداية: 2026-04-22 09:20 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shuai Zhang (المضيف)

التنبؤ 33.64%2.97السعر العادل
EV +14.38%
الأفضلية +4.23%
Kelly +5.99%
النمو +0.862%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.97%33.31%33.87%37.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.772.753.4040.00%36.16%36.36%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Eva Lys (الضيف)

التنبؤ 66.36%1.51السعر العادل
EV +0.200%
الأفضلية +0.132%
Kelly +0.392%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.81%66.69%66.13%72.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.421.431.5175.76%70.22%69.93%66.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +14.38%E +4.23%K +5.99%G +0.862%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -12.41%E -9.40%K -38.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 09:19
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.927%E +0.309%K +0.464%G +0.004%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:20
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.927%E +0.309%K +0.464%G +0.004%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.42%E -7.72%K -29.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 09:20
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.927%E +0.309%K +0.464%G +0.004%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.42%E -7.72%K -29.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 09:19
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV -0.082%E -0.028%K -0.042%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -11.74%E -8.83%K -35.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 09:17
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 08:59
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 09:19
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -11.08%E -8.27%K -32.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:20
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -3.11%E -1.08%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.75%E -7.17%K -27.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 09:19
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -3.45%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 09:00
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 09:20
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 09:19
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 09:20
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 09:19
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 09:20
DraftKings2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -6.14%E -2.20%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:19
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 09:00
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:05
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:00
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 09:20
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 09:20
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 09:20
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 09:20
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:20
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
SportsBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -8.83%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV +0.200%E +0.132%K +0.392%G +0.001%3.3%2026-04-22 09:00
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV +0.200%E +0.132%K +0.392%G +0.001%3.3%2026-04-22 09:00
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 09:00
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 09:19
ReBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:59
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 09:14
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 09:19
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 08:59
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:20
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:20
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:19
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:19
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.44%E -4.56%K -15.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 09:20
GTbets2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -9.50%E -3.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 08:58
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -10.85%E -4.09%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -0.464%E -0.309%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 09:05
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.85%E -4.09%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 09:19
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.09%EV -11.52%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.91%EV -9.75%E -7.17%K -27.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 09:20
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -11.86%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -0.464%E -0.309%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 09:00
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -11.86%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 09:19
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -12.53%E -4.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -6.44%E -4.56%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 09:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.89%E -6.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.89%E -6.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-04-22 09:20
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-04-22 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-04-22 09:20
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-04-22 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%3.2%2026-04-22 09:20
Novig2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%7.1%2026-04-22 09:20