La escuela de los momios

Shuai Zhang v Eva Lys

Inicio: 2026-04-22 09:20 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Predicción 33.64%2.97momio equitativo
EV +14.38%
Ventaja +4.23%
Kelly +5.99%
Crecimiento +0.862%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.97%33.31%33.87%37.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.772.753.4040.00%36.16%36.36%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Eva Lys (Visitante)

Predicción 66.36%1.51momio equitativo
EV +0.200%
Ventaja +0.132%
Kelly +0.392%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.81%66.69%66.13%72.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.421.431.5175.76%70.22%69.93%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +14.38%E +4.23%K +5.99%G +0.862%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -12.41%E -9.40%K -38.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 09:19
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.927%E +0.309%K +0.464%G +0.004%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:20
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.927%E +0.309%K +0.464%G +0.004%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.42%E -7.72%K -29.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 09:20
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.927%E +0.309%K +0.464%G +0.004%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.42%E -7.72%K -29.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 09:19
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV -0.082%E -0.028%K -0.042%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -11.74%E -8.83%K -35.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 09:17
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 08:59
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 09:19
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -11.08%E -8.27%K -32.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:20
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -3.11%E -1.08%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.75%E -7.17%K -27.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 09:19
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -3.45%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 09:00
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 09:20
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 09:19
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 09:20
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 09:19
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 09:20
DraftKings2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -6.14%E -2.20%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:19
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 09:00
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:05
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:00
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 09:20
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 09:20
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 09:20
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 09:20
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:20
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
SportsBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -8.83%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV +0.200%E +0.132%K +0.392%G +0.001%3.3%2026-04-22 09:00
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV +0.200%E +0.132%K +0.392%G +0.001%3.3%2026-04-22 09:00
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 09:00
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 09:19
ReBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:59
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 09:14
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 09:19
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 08:59
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:20
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:20
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:19
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:19
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.44%E -4.56%K -15.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 09:20
GTbets2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -9.50%E -3.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 08:58
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -10.85%E -4.09%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -0.464%E -0.309%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 09:05
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.85%E -4.09%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 09:19
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.09%EV -11.52%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.91%EV -9.75%E -7.17%K -27.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 09:20
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -11.86%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -0.464%E -0.309%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 09:00
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -11.86%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 09:19
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -12.53%E -4.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -6.44%E -4.56%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 09:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.89%E -6.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.89%E -6.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-04-22 09:20
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-04-22 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-04-22 09:20
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-04-22 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%3.2%2026-04-22 09:20
Novig2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%7.1%2026-04-22 09:20