L’École des cotes

Shuai Zhang v Eva Lys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 09:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Prévision 33.64%2.97cote équitable
EV +14.38%
Avantage +4.23%
Kelly +5.99%
Croissance +0.862%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.97%33.31%33.87%37.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.772.753.4040.00%36.16%36.36%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Eva Lys (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.36%1.51cote équitable
EV +0.200%
Avantage +0.132%
Kelly +0.392%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.81%66.69%66.13%72.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.421.431.5175.76%70.22%69.93%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +14.38%E +4.23%K +5.99%G +0.862%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -12.41%E -9.40%K -38.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 09:19
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.927%E +0.309%K +0.464%G +0.004%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:20
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.927%E +0.309%K +0.464%G +0.004%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.42%E -7.72%K -29.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 09:20
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.927%E +0.309%K +0.464%G +0.004%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.42%E -7.72%K -29.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 09:19
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV -0.082%E -0.028%K -0.042%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -11.74%E -8.83%K -35.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 09:17
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 08:59
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 09:19
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -11.08%E -8.27%K -32.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:20
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -3.11%E -1.08%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.75%E -7.17%K -27.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 09:19
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -3.45%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 09:00
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 09:20
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 09:19
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 09:20
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:19
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 09:19
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 09:20
DraftKings2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -6.14%E -2.20%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:19
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 09:00
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:05
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 09:00
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 09:20
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 09:20
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 09:20
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 09:20
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:20
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:19
SportsBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -8.83%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV +0.200%E +0.132%K +0.392%G +0.001%3.3%2026-04-22 09:00
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV +0.200%E +0.132%K +0.392%G +0.001%3.3%2026-04-22 09:00
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 09:00
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 09:19
ReBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:59
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 09:14
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 09:19
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 08:59
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:20
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:20
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:19
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:19
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.44%E -4.56%K -15.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.17%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 09:20
GTbets2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -9.50%E -3.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 08:58
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -10.85%E -4.09%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -0.464%E -0.309%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 09:05
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.85%E -4.09%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 09:19
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.09%EV -11.52%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.91%EV -9.75%E -7.17%K -27.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 09:20
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -11.86%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -0.464%E -0.309%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 09:00
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -11.86%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 09:19
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -12.53%E -4.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -6.44%E -4.56%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 09:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.89%E -6.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.89%E -6.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-04-22 09:20
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-04-22 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-04-22 09:20
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-04-22 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%3.2%2026-04-22 09:20
Novig2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%7.1%2026-04-22 09:20