Language:English
Belinda Bencic v Petra Marcinko
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Belinda Bencic (Local)
Prediction 78.67%1.27fair odd
EV -0.876%
Edge -0.695%
Kelly -3.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.72%78.83%78.43%82.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.191.191.2690.09%83.84%84.03%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Petra Marcinko (Visit)
Prediction 21.33%4.69fair odd
EV +13.05%
Edge +2.46%
Kelly +3.03%
Growth +0.396%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.45%21.17%21.57%24.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.464.505.3026.67%22.44%22.22%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belinda Bencic (Local): 78.67%; Petra Marcinko (Visit): 21.33%. For Petra Marcinko (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +13.05%E +2.46%K +3.03%G +0.396% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -12.68%E -11.42%K -115.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV +11.98%E +2.28%K +2.82%G +0.338% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV +10.92%E +2.10%K +2.60%G +0.284% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.78%E +1.72%K +2.14%G +0.188% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.53%E -8.29%K -63.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +6.65%E +1.33%K +1.66%G +0.111% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.53%E -8.29%K -63.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +6.65%E +1.33%K +1.66%G +0.111% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.32%E -9.05%K -73.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +6.65%E +1.33%K +1.66%G +0.111% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -8.74%E -7.54%K -54.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.251%E +0.053%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.251%E +0.053%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -2.95%E -0.648%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.16%E -0.697%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 09:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.78%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.22%EV -3.38%E -0.745%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 09:03 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 09:07 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:07 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.24%E -2.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.45%E -1.98%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.72%EV -0.876%E -0.695%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.28%EV -16.17%E -4.12%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -16.81%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -20.01%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |