مدرسة الاحتمالات

Belinda Bencic v Petra Marcinko

البداية: 2026-04-23 09:16 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Belinda Bencic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 78.67%1.27السعر العادل
EV -0.876%
الأفضلية -0.695%
Kelly -3.37%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.72%78.83%78.43%82.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.111.191.191.2690.09%83.84%84.03%79.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Petra Marcinko (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.33%4.69السعر العادل
EV +13.05%
الأفضلية +2.46%
Kelly +3.03%
النمو +0.396%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.45%21.17%21.57%24.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.464.505.3026.67%22.44%22.22%18.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +13.05%E +2.46%K +3.03%G +0.396%4.3%2026-04-23 09:14
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -12.68%E -11.42%K -115.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV +11.98%E +2.28%K +2.82%G +0.338%9.1%2026-04-23 09:12
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV +10.92%E +2.10%K +2.60%G +0.284%2.6%2026-04-23 09:15
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.78%E +1.72%K +2.14%G +0.188%5.1%2026-04-23 09:04
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.53%E -8.29%K -63.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +6.65%E +1.33%K +1.66%G +0.111%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.53%E -8.29%K -63.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +6.65%E +1.33%K +1.66%G +0.111%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.32%E -9.05%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +6.65%E +1.33%K +1.66%G +0.111%7.7%2026-04-23 09:14
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005%5.1%2026-04-23 09:14
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005%5.8%2026-04-23 09:15
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005%6.5%2026-04-23 09:14
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -8.74%E -7.54%K -54.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005%7.3%2026-04-23 09:14
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.251%E +0.053%K +0.068%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:14
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.251%E +0.053%K +0.068%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:14
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -2.95%E -0.648%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:14
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.16%E -0.697%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:03
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.78%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.22%EV -3.38%E -0.745%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 08:59
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 09:03
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 09:04
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 09:04
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 09:07
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 08:59
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:04
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:04
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:14
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:04
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:14
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:04
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:15
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:04
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:10
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:15
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:07
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 09:14
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:04
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:15
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 08:59
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 09:14
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.24%E -2.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 09:15
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 09:10
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:15
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 09:15
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.45%E -1.98%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:05
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 09:14
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 09:15
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.72%EV -0.876%E -0.695%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.28%EV -16.17%E -4.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:15
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -16.81%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -20.01%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 09:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-23 09:15
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%3.3%2026-04-23 09:15
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%5.8%2026-04-23 09:15