A Escola das Odds

Belinda Bencic v Petra Marcinko

Início: 2026-04-23 09:16 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Belinda Bencic (Local)

Previsão 78.67%1.27odd justa
EV -0.876%
Vantagem -0.695%
Kelly -3.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.72%78.83%78.43%82.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.111.191.191.2690.09%83.84%84.03%79.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Petra Marcinko (Visitante)

Previsão 21.33%4.69odd justa
EV +13.05%
Vantagem +2.46%
Kelly +3.03%
Crescimento +0.396%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.45%21.17%21.57%24.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.464.505.3026.67%22.44%22.22%18.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +13.05%E +2.46%K +3.03%G +0.396%4.3%2026-04-23 09:14
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -12.68%E -11.42%K -115.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV +11.98%E +2.28%K +2.82%G +0.338%9.1%2026-04-23 09:12
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV +10.92%E +2.10%K +2.60%G +0.284%2.6%2026-04-23 09:15
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.78%E +1.72%K +2.14%G +0.188%5.1%2026-04-23 09:04
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.53%E -8.29%K -63.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +6.65%E +1.33%K +1.66%G +0.111%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.53%E -8.29%K -63.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +6.65%E +1.33%K +1.66%G +0.111%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.32%E -9.05%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +6.65%E +1.33%K +1.66%G +0.111%7.7%2026-04-23 09:14
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005%5.1%2026-04-23 09:14
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005%5.8%2026-04-23 09:15
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005%6.5%2026-04-23 09:14
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -8.74%E -7.54%K -54.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005%7.3%2026-04-23 09:14
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.251%E +0.053%K +0.068%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:14
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.251%E +0.053%K +0.068%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:14
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -2.95%E -0.648%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:14
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.16%E -0.697%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:03
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.78%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.22%EV -3.38%E -0.745%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 08:59
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 09:03
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 09:04
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 09:04
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 09:07
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 08:59
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:04
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:04
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:14
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:04
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:14
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:04
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:15
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:04
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:10
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:15
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:07
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 09:14
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:04
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:15
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 08:59
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 09:14
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.24%E -2.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 09:15
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 09:10
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:15
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 09:15
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.45%E -1.98%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:05
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 09:14
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 09:15
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.72%EV -0.876%E -0.695%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.28%EV -16.17%E -4.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:15
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -16.81%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -20.01%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-23 09:15
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%3.3%2026-04-23 09:15
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%5.8%2026-04-23 09:15