La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Belinda Bencic v Petra Marcinko
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Belinda Bencic (Local)
Predicción 78.67%1.27momio equitativo
EV -0.876%
Ventaja -0.695%
Kelly -3.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.72%78.83%78.43%82.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.191.191.2690.09%83.84%84.03%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Petra Marcinko (Visitante)
Predicción 21.33%4.69momio equitativo
EV +13.05%
Ventaja +2.46%
Kelly +3.03%
Crecimiento +0.396%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.45%21.17%21.57%24.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.464.505.3026.67%22.44%22.22%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +13.05%E +2.46%K +3.03%G +0.396% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -12.68%E -11.42%K -115.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV +11.98%E +2.28%K +2.82%G +0.338% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV +10.92%E +2.10%K +2.60%G +0.284% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.78%E +1.72%K +2.14%G +0.188% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Coral | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.53%E -8.29%K -63.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +6.65%E +1.33%K +1.66%G +0.111% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| TAB | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.53%E -8.29%K -63.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +6.65%E +1.33%K +1.66%G +0.111% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| 888sport | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.32%E -9.05%K -73.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +6.65%E +1.33%K +1.66%G +0.111% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -8.74%E -7.54%K -54.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +1.32%E +0.277%K +0.351%G +0.005% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.251%E +0.053%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| betPARX | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.251%E +0.053%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -2.95%E -0.648%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.16%E -0.697%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 09:03 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.78%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.22%EV -3.38%E -0.745%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 09:03 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 09:07 |
| ReBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Fliff | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Neds | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:07 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.08%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.24%E -2.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.41%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.45%E -1.98%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.72%EV -0.876%E -0.695%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.28%EV -16.17%E -4.12%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -5.60%E -4.66%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -16.81%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -7.96%E -6.80%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -20.01%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Novig | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |