Language:English
Taylor Townsend v Nuria Brancaccio
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Taylor Townsend (Local)
Prediction 74.20%1.35fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.991%
Kelly -3.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.88%74.13%74.19%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.281.271.3380.00%78.31%78.74%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nuria Brancaccio (Visit)
Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV +3.21%
Edge +0.803%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.87%25.81%28.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.683.704.0029.41%27.19%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Taylor Townsend (Local): 74.20%; Nuria Brancaccio (Visit): 25.80%. For Nuria Brancaccio (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.21%E +0.803%K +1.07%G +0.034% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV +2.95%E +0.740%K +0.988%G +0.029% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.630%E +0.162%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.660%E -0.171%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV -1.18%E -0.307%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 12:13 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.91%EV -2.06%E -1.56%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 26.09%EV -3.50%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 12:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -3.54%E -2.73%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -7.63%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.98%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.98%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.32%E -0.991%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 12:45 |