مدرسة الاحتمالات

Taylor Townsend v Nuria Brancaccio

البداية: 2026-05-06 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Taylor Townsend (المضيف)

التنبؤ 74.20%1.35السعر العادل
EV -1.32%
الأفضلية -0.991%
Kelly -3.99%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.88%74.13%74.19%76.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.281.271.3380.00%78.31%78.74%75.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Nuria Brancaccio (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.80%3.88السعر العادل
EV +3.21%
الأفضلية +0.803%
Kelly +1.07%
النمو +0.034%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.81%25.87%25.81%28.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.683.704.0029.41%27.19%27.03%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.21%E +0.803%K +1.07%G +0.034%5.0%2026-05-06 11:24
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV +2.95%E +0.740%K +0.988%G +0.029%3.2%2026-05-06 12:55
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.630%E +0.162%K +0.217%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-06 11:24
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.660%E -0.171%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV -1.18%E -0.307%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 12:13
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 11:25
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 11:25
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:10
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:50
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 11:25
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:24
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:24
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:24
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:24
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 12:45
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 11:24
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.91%EV -2.06%E -1.56%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 26.09%EV -3.50%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 11:25
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:24
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:25
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 11:24
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 11:24
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 12:55
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 11:24
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 12:55
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:25
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:25
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:24
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:25
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:24
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 11:24
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 11:24
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:25
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:24
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 12:44
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 11:25
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -3.54%E -2.73%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -7.63%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 11:24
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 11:25
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 11:24
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 12:55
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 11:25
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.98%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.98%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:24
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.32%E -0.991%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 11:25
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 11:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-06 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-05-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-05-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-05-06 12:55
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-05-06 12:55
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%4.4%2026-05-06 12:45