Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Townsend v Nuria Brancaccio

Início: 2026-05-06 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Townsend (Local)

Previsão 74.20%1.35odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.991%
Kelly -3.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.88%74.13%74.19%76.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.281.271.3380.00%78.31%78.74%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nuria Brancaccio (Visitante)

Previsão 25.80%3.88odd justa
EV +3.21%
Vantagem +0.803%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescimento +0.034%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.81%25.87%25.81%28.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.683.704.0029.41%27.19%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Taylor Townsend (Local): 74.20%; Nuria Brancaccio (Visitante): 25.80%. Para Nuria Brancaccio (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.88. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.21%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.21%E +0.803%K +1.07%G +0.034%5.0%2026-05-06 11:24
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV +2.95%E +0.740%K +0.988%G +0.029%3.2%2026-05-06 12:55
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.630%E +0.162%K +0.217%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-06 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.660%E -0.171%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV -1.18%E -0.307%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 12:13
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:50
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 11:25
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:24
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:24
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:24
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 12:45
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 11:24
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.91%EV -2.06%E -1.56%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 26.09%EV -3.50%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:24
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:25
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 11:24
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 11:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 11:24
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:25
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:25
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 11:24
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 11:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:24
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 12:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 11:25
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -3.54%E -2.73%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -7.63%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 11:24
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 11:25
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 11:24
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 12:55
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 11:25
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.98%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.98%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:24
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.32%E -0.991%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 11:25
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-06 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-05-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-05-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-05-06 12:55
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-05-06 12:55
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%4.4%2026-05-06 12:45