L’École des cotes

Taylor Townsend v Nuria Brancaccio

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Taylor Townsend (Local)

Prévision 74.20%1.35cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.991%
Kelly -3.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.88%74.13%74.19%76.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.281.271.3380.00%78.31%78.74%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nuria Brancaccio (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.80%3.88cote équitable
EV +3.21%
Avantage +0.803%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.034%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.81%25.87%25.81%28.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.683.704.0029.41%27.19%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.21%E +0.803%K +1.07%G +0.034%5.0%2026-05-06 11:24
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV +2.95%E +0.740%K +0.988%G +0.029%3.2%2026-05-06 12:55
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.630%E +0.162%K +0.217%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-06 11:24
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.660%E -0.171%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV -1.18%E -0.307%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 12:13
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 11:25
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 11:25
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:10
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:50
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 11:25
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:24
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:24
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:24
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:24
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:25
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 12:45
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 11:24
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.91%EV -2.06%E -1.56%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 26.09%EV -3.50%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 11:25
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:24
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:25
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 11:24
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 11:24
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 12:55
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 11:24
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 12:55
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:25
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:25
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:24
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:25
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:24
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 11:24
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 11:24
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:25
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:24
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 12:44
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 11:25
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -3.54%E -2.73%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -7.63%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 11:24
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 11:25
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 11:24
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 12:55
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 11:25
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.98%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.98%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:24
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.32%E -0.991%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 11:25
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-06 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-05-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-05-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-05-06 12:55
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-05-06 12:55
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%4.4%2026-05-06 12:45