Language:English
Petra Marcinko v Oleksandra Oliynykova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Petra Marcinko (Local)
Prediction 47.75%2.09fair odd
EV +15.07%
Edge +6.25%
Kelly +10.69%
Growth +1.61%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.29%48.61%46.38%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.911.952.4159.88%52.23%51.28%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oleksandra Oliynykova (Visit)
Prediction 52.25%1.91fair odd
EV +14.96%
Edge +6.80%
Kelly +12.46%
Growth +1.86%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%51.39%53.62%60.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.871.792.2064.10%53.46%55.87%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Petra Marcinko (Local): 47.75%; Oleksandra Oliynykova (Visit): 52.25%. For Petra Marcinko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -20.26%E -12.13%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +14.96%E +6.80%K +12.46%G +1.86% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 10:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -16.44%E -9.40%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +13.91%E +6.38%K +11.79%G +1.64% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -19.31%E -11.42%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV +12.87%E +5.96%K +11.09%G +1.43% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 10:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +12.34%E +5.74%K +10.73%G +1.33% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +12.34%E +5.74%K +10.73%G +1.33% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 10:57 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -18.35%E -10.73%K -25.85%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV +11.82%E +5.52%K +10.37%G +1.23% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 10:52 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +10.78%E +5.08%K +9.62%G +1.04% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 10:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +10.78%E +5.08%K +9.62%G +1.04% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 10:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +10.78%E +5.08%K +9.62%G +1.04% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 10:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -17.88%E -10.39%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 10:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -17.88%E -10.39%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 10:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -18.83%E -11.08%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 10:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -15.01%E -8.43%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 10:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 10:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.83%E -11.08%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 10:52 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.83%E -11.08%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 10:51 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -16.44%E -9.40%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +4.51%E +2.25%K +4.51%G +0.203% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 10:58 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -11.67%E -6.31%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +1.89%E +0.971%K +1.99%G +0.038% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 10:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.196%E -0.103%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.06%E -7.81%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -0.196%E -0.103%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.06%E -7.81%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -0.196%E -0.103%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 10:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.47%E -3.61%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.47%E -3.61%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -6.47%E -3.61%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.33%E -4.34%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.268%E +0.128%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.687%E -0.330%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.687%E -0.330%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.687%E -0.330%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -1.64%E -0.797%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -10.12%E -5.89%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -10.12%E -5.89%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.24%E -5.44%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -10.12%E -5.89%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -3.55%E -1.76%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%EV -11.69%E -6.92%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.268%E +0.128%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.74%E -7.63%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.268%E +0.128%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.74%E -7.63%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -6.42%E -3.27%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -13.26%E -7.99%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +7.43%E +3.30%K +5.94%G +0.442% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -13.78%E -8.35%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV +15.07%E +6.25%K +10.69%G +1.61% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -18.48%E -11.85%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 1.5% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.29% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 10:56 |