A Escola das Odds

Petra Marcinko v Oleksandra Oliynykova

Início: 2026-05-05 11:01 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Petra Marcinko (Local)

Previsão 47.75%2.09odd justa
EV +15.07%
Vantagem +6.25%
Kelly +10.69%
Crescimento +1.61%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.29%48.61%46.38%56.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.911.952.4159.88%52.23%51.28%41.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Visitante)

Previsão 52.25%1.91odd justa
EV +14.96%
Vantagem +6.80%
Kelly +12.46%
Crescimento +1.86%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%51.39%53.62%60.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.561.871.792.2064.10%53.46%55.87%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -20.26%E -12.13%K -30.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +14.96%E +6.80%K +12.46%G +1.86%5.3%2026-05-05 10:54
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -16.44%E -9.40%K -21.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +13.91%E +6.38%K +11.79%G +1.64%3.0%2026-05-05 11:00
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -19.31%E -11.42%K -27.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV +12.87%E +5.96%K +11.09%G +1.43%5.5%2026-05-05 10:54
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +12.34%E +5.74%K +10.73%G +1.33%4.0%2026-05-05 10:55
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +12.34%E +5.74%K +10.73%G +1.33%4.0%2026-05-05 10:57
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -18.35%E -10.73%K -25.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV +11.82%E +5.52%K +10.37%G +1.23%5.2%2026-05-05 10:52
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +10.78%E +5.08%K +9.62%G +1.04%4.6%2026-05-05 10:51
NordicBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +10.78%E +5.08%K +9.62%G +1.04%5.0%2026-05-05 10:48
Betsson1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +10.78%E +5.08%K +9.62%G +1.04%5.0%2026-05-05 10:48
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861%5.4%2026-05-05 10:56
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861%5.4%2026-05-05 10:50
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -17.88%E -10.39%K -24.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861%5.8%2026-05-05 10:51
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -17.88%E -10.39%K -24.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861%5.8%2026-05-05 10:55
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -18.83%E -11.08%K -26.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861%6.4%2026-05-05 10:51
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -15.01%E -8.43%K -19.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483%5.0%2026-05-05 10:58
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483%6.3%2026-05-05 10:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.83%E -11.08%K -26.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483%7.6%2026-05-05 10:52
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.83%E -11.08%K -26.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483%7.6%2026-05-05 10:51
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -16.44%E -9.40%K -21.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +4.51%E +2.25%K +4.51%G +0.203%7.1%2026-05-05 10:58
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -11.67%E -6.31%K -13.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +1.89%E +0.971%K +1.99%G +0.038%5.3%2026-05-05 10:59
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.196%E -0.103%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.06%E -7.81%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -0.196%E -0.103%K -0.216%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 10:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.06%E -7.81%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -0.196%E -0.103%K -0.216%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 10:59
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 11:00
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 11:00
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 11:00
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.47%E -3.61%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.47%E -3.61%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:00
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -6.47%E -3.61%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.33%E -4.34%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.268%E +0.128%K +0.244%G +0.001%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 11:00
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.687%E -0.330%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:00
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.687%E -0.330%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:00
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.687%E -0.330%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:00
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:00
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -1.64%E -0.797%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 11:00
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 11:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 11:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -10.12%E -5.89%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -10.12%E -5.89%K -14.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 11:00
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.24%E -5.44%K -11.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -10.12%E -5.89%K -14.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 11:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 11:00
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 11:00
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -3.55%E -1.76%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 11:00
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 11:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 11:00
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%EV -11.69%E -6.92%K -16.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-05 11:00
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.268%E +0.128%K +0.244%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.74%E -7.63%K -19.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 11:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.268%E +0.128%K +0.244%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.74%E -7.63%K -19.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -6.42%E -3.27%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -13.26%E -7.99%K -20.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 11:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +7.43%E +3.30%K +5.94%G +0.442%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -13.78%E -8.35%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:00
DraftKings2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV +15.07%E +6.25%K +10.69%G +1.61%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -18.48%E -11.85%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 11:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-05-05 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-05 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-05 11:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-05-05 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-05-05 11:00
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.29%5.7%2026-05-05 10:56