مدرسة الاحتمالات

Petra Marcinko v Oleksandra Oliynykova

البداية: 2026-05-05 11:01 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Petra Marcinko (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.75%2.09السعر العادل
EV +15.07%
الأفضلية +6.25%
Kelly +10.69%
النمو +1.61%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.29%48.61%46.38%56.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.911.952.4159.88%52.23%51.28%41.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Oleksandra Oliynykova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 52.25%1.91السعر العادل
EV +14.96%
الأفضلية +6.80%
Kelly +12.46%
النمو +1.86%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.15%51.39%53.62%60.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.871.792.2064.10%53.46%55.87%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -20.26%E -12.13%K -30.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +14.96%E +6.80%K +12.46%G +1.86%5.3%2026-05-05 10:54
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -16.44%E -9.40%K -21.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +13.91%E +6.38%K +11.79%G +1.64%3.0%2026-05-05 11:00
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -19.31%E -11.42%K -27.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV +12.87%E +5.96%K +11.09%G +1.43%5.5%2026-05-05 10:54
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +12.34%E +5.74%K +10.73%G +1.33%4.0%2026-05-05 10:55
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +12.34%E +5.74%K +10.73%G +1.33%4.0%2026-05-05 10:57
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -18.35%E -10.73%K -25.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV +11.82%E +5.52%K +10.37%G +1.23%5.2%2026-05-05 10:52
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +10.78%E +5.08%K +9.62%G +1.04%4.6%2026-05-05 10:51
NordicBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +10.78%E +5.08%K +9.62%G +1.04%5.0%2026-05-05 10:48
Betsson1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +10.78%E +5.08%K +9.62%G +1.04%5.0%2026-05-05 10:48
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861%5.4%2026-05-05 10:56
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861%5.4%2026-05-05 10:50
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -17.88%E -10.39%K -24.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861%5.8%2026-05-05 10:51
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -17.88%E -10.39%K -24.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861%5.8%2026-05-05 10:55
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -18.83%E -11.08%K -26.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861%6.4%2026-05-05 10:51
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -15.01%E -8.43%K -19.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483%5.0%2026-05-05 10:58
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483%6.3%2026-05-05 10:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.83%E -11.08%K -26.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483%7.6%2026-05-05 10:52
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.83%E -11.08%K -26.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483%7.6%2026-05-05 10:51
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -16.44%E -9.40%K -21.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +4.51%E +2.25%K +4.51%G +0.203%7.1%2026-05-05 10:58
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -11.67%E -6.31%K -13.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +1.89%E +0.971%K +1.99%G +0.038%5.3%2026-05-05 10:59
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.196%E -0.103%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.06%E -7.81%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -0.196%E -0.103%K -0.216%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 10:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.06%E -7.81%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -0.196%E -0.103%K -0.216%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 10:59
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 11:00
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 11:00
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 11:00
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.47%E -3.61%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.47%E -3.61%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:00
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -6.47%E -3.61%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.33%E -4.34%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.268%E +0.128%K +0.244%G +0.001%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 11:00
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.687%E -0.330%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:00
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.687%E -0.330%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:00
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.687%E -0.330%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:00
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:00
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -1.64%E -0.797%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 11:00
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 11:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 11:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -10.12%E -5.89%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -10.12%E -5.89%K -14.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 11:00
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.24%E -5.44%K -11.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -10.12%E -5.89%K -14.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 11:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 11:00
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 11:00
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -3.55%E -1.76%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 11:00
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 11:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 11:00
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%EV -11.69%E -6.92%K -16.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-05 11:00
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.268%E +0.128%K +0.244%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.74%E -7.63%K -19.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 11:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.268%E +0.128%K +0.244%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.74%E -7.63%K -19.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -6.42%E -3.27%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -13.26%E -7.99%K -20.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 11:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +7.43%E +3.30%K +5.94%G +0.442%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -13.78%E -8.35%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:00
DraftKings2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV +15.07%E +6.25%K +10.69%G +1.61%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -18.48%E -11.85%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 11:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-05-05 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-05 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-05 11:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-05-05 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-05-05 11:00
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.29%5.7%2026-05-05 10:56