L’École des cotes

Petra Marcinko v Oleksandra Oliynykova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 11:01 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Petra Marcinko (Local)

Prévision 47.75%2.09cote équitable
EV +15.07%
Avantage +6.25%
Kelly +10.69%
Croissance +1.61%

avec la cote maximale 2.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.29%48.61%46.38%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.911.952.4159.88%52.23%51.28%41.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.25%1.91cote équitable
EV +14.96%
Avantage +6.80%
Kelly +12.46%
Croissance +1.86%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%51.39%53.62%60.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.871.792.2064.10%53.46%55.87%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -20.26%E -12.13%K -30.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +14.96%E +6.80%K +12.46%G +1.86%5.3%2026-05-05 10:54
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -16.44%E -9.40%K -21.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +13.91%E +6.38%K +11.79%G +1.64%3.0%2026-05-05 11:00
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -19.31%E -11.42%K -27.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV +12.87%E +5.96%K +11.09%G +1.43%5.5%2026-05-05 10:54
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +12.34%E +5.74%K +10.73%G +1.33%4.0%2026-05-05 10:55
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +12.34%E +5.74%K +10.73%G +1.33%4.0%2026-05-05 10:57
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -18.35%E -10.73%K -25.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV +11.82%E +5.52%K +10.37%G +1.23%5.2%2026-05-05 10:52
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +10.78%E +5.08%K +9.62%G +1.04%4.6%2026-05-05 10:51
NordicBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +10.78%E +5.08%K +9.62%G +1.04%5.0%2026-05-05 10:48
Betsson1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +10.78%E +5.08%K +9.62%G +1.04%5.0%2026-05-05 10:48
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861%5.4%2026-05-05 10:56
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -17.40%E -10.06%K -23.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861%5.4%2026-05-05 10:50
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -17.88%E -10.39%K -24.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861%5.8%2026-05-05 10:51
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -17.88%E -10.39%K -24.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861%5.8%2026-05-05 10:55
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -18.83%E -11.08%K -26.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +9.73%E +4.63%K +8.85%G +0.861%6.4%2026-05-05 10:51
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -15.01%E -8.43%K -19.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483%5.0%2026-05-05 10:58
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -16.92%E -9.72%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483%6.3%2026-05-05 10:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.83%E -11.08%K -26.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483%7.6%2026-05-05 10:52
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.83%E -11.08%K -26.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +7.12%E +3.47%K +6.78%G +0.483%7.6%2026-05-05 10:51
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -16.44%E -9.40%K -21.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +4.51%E +2.25%K +4.51%G +0.203%7.1%2026-05-05 10:58
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -11.67%E -6.31%K -13.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +1.89%E +0.971%K +1.99%G +0.038%5.3%2026-05-05 10:59
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.196%E -0.103%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.06%E -7.81%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -0.196%E -0.103%K -0.216%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 10:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.06%E -7.81%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -0.196%E -0.103%K -0.216%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 10:59
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 11:00
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 11:00
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 11:00
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.47%E -3.61%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.47%E -3.61%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:00
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -6.47%E -3.61%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.33%E -4.34%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.268%E +0.128%K +0.244%G +0.001%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 11:00
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.687%E -0.330%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:00
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.687%E -0.330%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:00
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.687%E -0.330%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:00
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:00
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -1.64%E -0.797%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 11:00
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 11:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 11:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -10.12%E -5.89%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -10.12%E -5.89%K -14.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 11:00
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.24%E -5.44%K -11.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -10.12%E -5.89%K -14.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 11:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 11:00
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 11:00
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -3.55%E -1.76%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 11:00
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.65%E -6.23%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 11:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 11:00
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%EV -6.89%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%EV -11.69%E -6.92%K -16.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-05 11:00
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.268%E +0.128%K +0.244%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.74%E -7.63%K -19.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 11:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.268%E +0.128%K +0.244%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.74%E -7.63%K -19.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -6.42%E -3.27%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -13.26%E -7.99%K -20.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 11:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +7.43%E +3.30%K +5.94%G +0.442%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -13.78%E -8.35%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:00
DraftKings2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV +15.07%E +6.25%K +10.69%G +1.61%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -18.48%E -11.85%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-05-05 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-05 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-05 11:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-05-05 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-05-05 11:00
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.29%5.7%2026-05-05 10:56