Language:English
Naomi Osaka v Eva Lys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Prediction 73.93%1.35fair odd
EV -0.930%
Edge -0.694%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.12%74.07%73.92%77.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.291.3481.97%78.10%77.82%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Eva Lys (Visit)
Prediction 26.07%3.84fair odd
EV +10.79%
Edge +2.54%
Kelly +3.32%
Growth +0.358%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%25.93%26.08%28.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.553.504.2530.77%28.21%28.57%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Naomi Osaka (Local): 73.93%; Eva Lys (Visit): 26.07%. For Eva Lys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.80%E -8.03%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +10.79%E +2.54%K +3.32%G +0.358% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.27%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.061% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +4.27%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.061% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +1.66%E +0.426%K +0.573%G +0.010% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -6.84%E -5.43%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV +0.881%E +0.228%K +0.307%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.359%E +0.093%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 13:53 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.359%E +0.093%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 13:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.61%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV -0.423%E -0.111%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 13:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.944%E -0.248%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.25%E -0.599%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.25%E -0.599%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.25%E -0.599%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -2.51%E -0.671%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -5.11%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 13:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:53 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -9.80%E -8.03%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.84%E -5.43%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -6.84%E -5.43%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.33%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.67%EV -13.46%E -4.05%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 13:52 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -0.930%E -0.694%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.15%E -2.40%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 13:47 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.28%E -4.70%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 13:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.28%E -4.70%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 13:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -15.28%E -4.70%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 0.1% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 0.1% | 2026-05-08 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 0.1% | 2026-05-08 13:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |