La scuola delle quote

Naomi Osaka v Eva Lys

Inizio: 2026-05-08 14:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Naomi Osaka (Casa)

Previsione 73.93%1.35quota equa
EV -0.930%
Vantaggio -0.694%
Kelly -2.74%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.12%74.07%73.92%77.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.281.291.3481.97%78.10%77.82%74.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Eva Lys (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.07%3.84quota equa
EV +10.79%
Vantaggio +2.54%
Kelly +3.32%
Crescita +0.358%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.30%25.93%26.08%28.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.553.504.2530.77%28.21%28.57%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.80%E -8.03%K -44.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +10.79%E +2.54%K +3.32%G +0.358%5.5%2026-05-08 13:55
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.27%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.061%5.0%2026-05-08 13:55
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +4.27%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.061%5.6%2026-05-08 13:55
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +1.66%E +0.426%K +0.573%G +0.010%5.6%2026-05-08 13:55
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -6.84%E -5.43%K -26.33%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV +0.881%E +0.228%K +0.307%G +0.003%5.2%2026-05-08 13:54
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.359%E +0.093%K +0.126%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 13:53
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.359%E +0.093%K +0.126%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 13:53
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.61%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV -0.423%E -0.111%K -0.150%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 13:15
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.944%E -0.248%K -0.337%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 13:55
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.25%E -0.599%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:55
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.25%E -0.599%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:55
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.25%E -0.599%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 13:55
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -2.51%E -0.671%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:49
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 13:54
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -5.11%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 13:54
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 13:39
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 13:40
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 13:55
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:15
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 13:54
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 13:55
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 13:14
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:54
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:54
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:54
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:53
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:54
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 13:14
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 13:54
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 13:54
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:54
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:54
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:54
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:54
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 13:14
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -9.80%E -8.03%K -44.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 13:55
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 13:54
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.84%E -5.43%K -26.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 13:54
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:54
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:54
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:54
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:54
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 13:54
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -6.84%E -5.43%K -26.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 13:54
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.33%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.67%EV -13.46%E -4.05%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 13:52
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -0.930%E -0.694%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:54
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.15%E -2.40%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 13:47
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 13:14
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.28%E -4.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 13:53
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.28%E -4.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 13:48
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -15.28%E -4.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 13:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.1%2026-05-08 13:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.1%2026-05-08 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.1%2026-05-08 13:15
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-05-08 13:55
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-05-08 13:54
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%3.1%2026-05-08 13:54