StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Naomi Osaka v Eva Lys

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-08 14:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Naomi Osaka (Heim)

Prognose 73.93%1.35faire Quote
EV -0.930%
Vorteil -0.694%
Kelly -2.74%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.34

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.12%74.07%73.92%77.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.221.281.291.3481.97%78.10%77.82%74.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Eva Lys (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.07%3.84faire Quote
EV +10.79%
Vorteil +2.54%
Kelly +3.32%
Wachstum +0.358%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.30%25.93%26.08%28.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.253.553.504.2530.77%28.21%28.57%23.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Naomi Osaka (Heim): 73.93%; Eva Lys (Auswärts): 26.07%. Für Eva Lys (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.84. 7 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +10.79%.

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.80%E -8.03%K -44.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +10.79%E +2.54%K +3.32%G +0.358%5.5%2026-05-08 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.27%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.061%5.0%2026-05-08 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +4.27%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.061%5.6%2026-05-08 13:55
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +1.66%E +0.426%K +0.573%G +0.010%5.6%2026-05-08 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -6.84%E -5.43%K -26.33%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV +0.881%E +0.228%K +0.307%G +0.003%5.2%2026-05-08 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.359%E +0.093%K +0.126%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 13:53
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.359%E +0.093%K +0.126%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 13:53
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.61%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV -0.423%E -0.111%K -0.150%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 13:15
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.944%E -0.248%K -0.337%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.25%E -0.599%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.25%E -0.599%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.25%E -0.599%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 13:55
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -2.51%E -0.671%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 13:54
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -5.11%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 13:54
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 13:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:15
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 13:54
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 13:55
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 13:14
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:54
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:54
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:53
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:54
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 13:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 13:54
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 13:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:54
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:54
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 13:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -9.80%E -8.03%K -44.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 13:54
Fanatics🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.84%E -5.43%K -26.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:54
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:54
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:54
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 13:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -6.84%E -5.43%K -26.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 13:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.33%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.67%EV -13.46%E -4.05%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 13:52
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -0.930%E -0.694%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:54
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.15%E -2.40%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 13:47
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 13:14
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.28%E -4.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 13:53
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.28%E -4.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 13:48
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -15.28%E -4.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 13:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.1%2026-05-08 13:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.1%2026-05-08 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.1%2026-05-08 13:15
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-05-08 13:55
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-05-08 13:54
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%3.1%2026-05-08 13:54