La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Naomi Osaka v Eva Lys
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Predicción 73.93%1.35momio equitativo
EV -0.930%
Ventaja -0.694%
Kelly -2.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.12%74.07%73.92%77.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.281.291.3481.97%78.10%77.82%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Eva Lys (Visitante)
Predicción 26.07%3.84momio equitativo
EV +10.79%
Ventaja +2.54%
Kelly +3.32%
Crecimiento +0.358%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%25.93%26.08%28.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.553.504.2530.77%28.21%28.57%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.80%E -8.03%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +10.79%E +2.54%K +3.32%G +0.358% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.27%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.061% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +4.27%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.061% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +1.66%E +0.426%K +0.573%G +0.010% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -6.84%E -5.43%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV +0.881%E +0.228%K +0.307%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.359%E +0.093%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 13:53 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.359%E +0.093%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 13:53 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.61%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV -0.423%E -0.111%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 13:15 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.944%E -0.248%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.25%E -0.599%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.25%E -0.599%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.25%E -0.599%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -2.51%E -0.671%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -5.11%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 13:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 13:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 13:15 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:53 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| TAB | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Fliff | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -9.80%E -8.03%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.37%E -4.19%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.84%E -5.43%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Bally Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -6.84%E -5.43%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.33%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.67%EV -13.46%E -4.05%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 13:52 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -0.930%E -0.694%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Caesars | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.15%E -2.40%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 13:47 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.89%E -2.99%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.28%E -4.70%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 13:53 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.28%E -4.70%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 13:48 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -15.28%E -4.70%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 0.1% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 0.1% | 2026-05-08 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 0.1% | 2026-05-08 13:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-05-08 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |
| Novig | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 13:54 |