Language:English
Naomi Osaka v Diana Shnaider
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Prediction 48.37%2.07fair odd
EV -0.843%
Edge -0.411%
Kelly -0.802%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%48.23%48.52%50.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.931.912.0553.76%51.93%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Diana Shnaider (Visit)
Prediction 51.63%1.94fair odd
EV +0.163%
Edge +0.084%
Kelly +0.174%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.35%51.77%51.48%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.851.851.9457.14%54.01%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Naomi Osaka (Local): 48.37%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 51.63%. For Diana Shnaider (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.937. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.940, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.163%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV +0.163%E +0.084%K +0.174%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 12:26 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -2.42%E -1.28%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -10.03%E -5.39%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -2.42%E -1.28%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -10.03%E -5.39%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -2.42%E -1.28%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.65%E -3.44%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -9.55%E -5.11%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.45%E -1.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.65%E -3.44%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.45%E -1.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.20%E -2.65%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.97%E -2.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.20%E -2.65%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.97%E -2.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.16%E -3.18%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:26 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.00%E -2.72%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.65%E -3.44%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.00%E -2.72%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 12:26 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.13%E -3.71%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 12:27 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 12:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.55%E -5.11%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.03%E -3.31%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.03%E -3.31%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 12:21 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -7.58%E -4.24%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 12:27 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.61%E -4.87%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.843%E -0.411%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.65%E -5.51%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.65%E -5.51%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.65%E -5.51%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |