La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Naomi Osaka v Diana Shnaider
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Predicción 48.37%2.07momio equitativo
EV -0.843%
Ventaja -0.411%
Kelly -0.802%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%48.23%48.52%50.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.861.931.912.0553.76%51.93%52.36%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Diana Shnaider (Visitante)
Predicción 51.63%1.94momio equitativo
EV +0.163%
Ventaja +0.084%
Kelly +0.174%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.35%51.77%51.48%53.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.851.851.9457.14%54.01%54.05%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV +0.163%E +0.084%K +0.174%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 12:26 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Unibet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -2.42%E -1.28%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -10.03%E -5.39%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -2.42%E -1.28%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -10.03%E -5.39%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -2.42%E -1.28%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.65%E -3.44%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -9.55%E -5.11%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.45%E -1.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.65%E -3.44%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.45%E -1.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.20%E -2.65%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.97%E -2.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.20%E -2.65%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.97%E -2.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.16%E -3.18%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:26 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.00%E -2.72%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.65%E -3.44%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.00%E -2.72%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 12:26 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.13%E -3.71%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 12:27 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 12:25 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.55%E -5.11%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.03%E -3.31%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.03%E -3.31%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 12:21 |
| GTbets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -7.58%E -4.24%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 12:27 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.61%E -4.87%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.843%E -0.411%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.65%E -5.51%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.65%E -5.51%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.65%E -5.51%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-10 12:29 |
| Novig | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 12:30 |