Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Naomi Osaka v Diana Shnaider

Início: 2026-05-10 12:38 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Naomi Osaka (Local)

Previsão 48.37%2.07odd justa
EV -0.843%
Vantagem -0.411%
Kelly -0.802%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.05%48.23%48.52%50.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.861.931.912.0553.76%51.93%52.36%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Previsão 51.63%1.94odd justa
EV +0.163%
Vantagem +0.084%
Kelly +0.174%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.35%51.77%51.48%53.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.851.851.9457.14%54.01%54.05%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Naomi Osaka (Local): 48.37%; Diana Shnaider (Visitante): 51.63%. Para Diana Shnaider (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.937. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.940, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.163%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV +0.163%E +0.084%K +0.174%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 12:26
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 12:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 12:29
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:29
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:30
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:29
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:29
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:30
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:30
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:30
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.726%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:30
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -2.42%E -1.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 12:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -10.03%E -5.39%K -11.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -2.42%E -1.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -10.03%E -5.39%K -11.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -2.42%E -1.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 12:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.65%E -3.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 12:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -9.55%E -5.11%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 12:30
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.45%E -1.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.65%E -3.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.45%E -1.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.20%E -2.65%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.97%E -2.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 12:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.20%E -2.65%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.97%E -2.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 12:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.16%E -3.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:30
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:26
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:30
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:29
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.00%E -2.72%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 12:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.65%E -3.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.00%E -2.72%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 12:26
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 12:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.13%E -3.71%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 12:27
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:29
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:30
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:30
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 12:25
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.55%E -5.11%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.52%E -3.01%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 12:29
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.03%E -3.31%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 12:29
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.03%E -3.31%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 12:30
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:29
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 12:29
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 12:29
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 12:29
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 12:29
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 12:29
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 12:21
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -7.58%E -4.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:27
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.61%E -4.87%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:29
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.843%E -0.411%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.65%E -5.51%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 12:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.65%E -5.51%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 12:30
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.65%E -5.51%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 12:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-10 12:29
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-05-10 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-10 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-10 12:30
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-05-10 12:30
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-05-10 12:30