Language:English
McCartney Kessler v Iva Jović
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
McCartney Kessler (Local)
Prediction 26.94%3.71fair odd
EV +14.51%
Edge +3.41%
Kelly +4.46%
Growth +0.648%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%26.88%26.51%31.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.503.554.2533.33%28.54%28.17%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iva Jović (Visit)
Prediction 73.06%1.37fair odd
EV +0.088%
Edge +0.064%
Kelly +0.237%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.97%73.12%73.49%77.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.291.271.3782.64%77.73%78.74%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: McCartney Kessler (Local): 26.94%; Iva Jović (Visit): 73.06%. For McCartney Kessler (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +14.51%E +3.41%K +4.46%G +0.648% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV +7.50%E +1.88%K +2.51%G +0.188% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +2.38%E +0.627%K +0.851%G +0.020% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +2.38%E +0.627%K +0.851%G +0.020% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -1.66%E -0.454%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.66%E -0.454%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -10.14%E -8.24%K -44.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -2.47%E -0.681%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -4.35%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.58%EV -11.60%E -9.59%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -7.85%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.56%E -2.70%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 18:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -9.47%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 18:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.56%E -2.70%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.30%E -3.28%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -11.36%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-07 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -11.36%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-07 19:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.70%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-07 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -14.32%E -4.50%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -1.37%E -1.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 18:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -15.13%E -4.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV +0.088%E +0.064%K +0.237%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 18:58 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -19.17%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -1.37%E -1.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -19.17%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -1.37%E -1.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -19.17%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00% | 2.6% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.15% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |