La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
McCartney Kessler v Iva Jović
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
McCartney Kessler (Local)
Predicción 26.94%3.71momio equitativo
EV +14.51%
Ventaja +3.41%
Kelly +4.46%
Crecimiento +0.648%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%26.88%26.51%31.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.503.554.2533.33%28.54%28.17%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Iva Jović (Visitante)
Predicción 73.06%1.37momio equitativo
EV +0.088%
Ventaja +0.064%
Kelly +0.237%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.97%73.12%73.49%77.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.291.271.3782.64%77.73%78.74%72.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +14.51%E +3.41%K +4.46%G +0.648% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| DraftKings | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV +7.50%E +1.88%K +2.51%G +0.188% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +2.38%E +0.627%K +0.851%G +0.020% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +2.38%E +0.627%K +0.851%G +0.020% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| 888sport | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| BetRivers | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| LeoVegas | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -1.66%E -0.454%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.66%E -0.454%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -10.14%E -8.24%K -44.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -2.47%E -0.681%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| betPARX | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Betsson | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| NordicBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Caesars | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -4.35%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.58%EV -11.60%E -9.59%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Bally Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Fliff | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -7.85%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.56%E -2.70%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 18:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -9.47%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 18:59 |
| ReBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.56%E -2.70%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.30%E -3.28%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -11.36%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-07 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -11.36%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-07 19:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.70%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-07 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -14.32%E -4.50%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -1.37%E -1.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 18:59 |
| BetUS | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -15.13%E -4.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV +0.088%E +0.064%K +0.237%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:54 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 18:58 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -19.17%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -1.37%E -1.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -19.17%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -1.37%E -1.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -19.17%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00% | 2.6% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Novig | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.15% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Smarkets | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |