La scuola delle quote

McCartney Kessler v Iva Jović

Inizio: 2026-05-07 19:18 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

McCartney Kessler (Casa)

Previsione 26.94%3.71quota equa
EV +14.51%
Vantaggio +3.41%
Kelly +4.46%
Crescita +0.648%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.30%26.88%26.51%31.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.503.554.2533.33%28.54%28.17%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Iva Jović (Trasferta)

Previsione 73.06%1.37quota equa
EV +0.088%
Vantaggio +0.064%
Kelly +0.237%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.97%73.12%73.49%77.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.211.291.271.3782.64%77.73%78.74%72.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +14.51%E +3.41%K +4.46%G +0.648%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 19:15
DraftKings3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV +7.50%E +1.88%K +2.51%G +0.188%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 19:14
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:15
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:15
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +2.38%E +0.627%K +0.851%G +0.020%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +2.38%E +0.627%K +0.851%G +0.020%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 19:15
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 19:15
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 19:15
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 19:15
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 19:15
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 19:15
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:15
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -1.66%E -0.454%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.66%E -0.454%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -10.14%E -8.24%K -44.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 19:15
SportsBet3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -2.47%E -0.681%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:59
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:15
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 19:15
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 19:15
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 19:15
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 19:15
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 19:15
PMU (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -4.35%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.58%EV -11.60%E -9.59%K -55.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-07 19:15
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 19:15
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 19:15
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Fliff3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -7.85%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.56%E -2.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 18:59
1xBet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -9.47%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 19:00
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 19:00
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-07 19:15
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 18:59
ReBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 18:59
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.56%E -2.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 19:00
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.30%E -3.28%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 19:15
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 19:15
LowVig.ag3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -11.36%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 19:10
BetOnline.ag3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -11.36%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 19:10
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 19:00
Betclic (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-07 19:10
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -14.32%E -4.50%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -1.37%E -1.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:59
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -15.13%E -4.80%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV +0.088%E +0.064%K +0.237%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 18:54
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:00
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 18:59
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 18:58
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -19.17%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -1.37%E -1.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -19.17%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -1.37%E -1.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 19:00
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -19.17%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 18:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%1.9%2026-05-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%2.6%2026-05-07 19:15
Novig3.53I 28.33%NM 26.15%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%8.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%9.0%2026-05-07 19:15