L’École des cotes

McCartney Kessler v Iva Jović

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 19:18 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

McCartney Kessler (Local)

Prévision 26.94%3.71cote équitable
EV +14.51%
Avantage +3.41%
Kelly +4.46%
Croissance +0.648%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.30%26.88%26.51%31.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.503.554.2533.33%28.54%28.17%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Iva Jović (Visiteur)

Prévision 73.06%1.37cote équitable
EV +0.088%
Avantage +0.064%
Kelly +0.237%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.97%73.12%73.49%77.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.291.271.3782.64%77.73%78.74%72.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +14.51%E +3.41%K +4.46%G +0.648%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 19:15
DraftKings3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV +7.50%E +1.88%K +2.51%G +0.188%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 19:14
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:15
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +3.73%E +0.969%K +1.31%G +0.049%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:15
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +2.38%E +0.627%K +0.851%G +0.020%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +2.38%E +0.627%K +0.851%G +0.020%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 19:15
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 19:15
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 19:15
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 19:15
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +1.04%E +0.277%K +0.377%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 19:15
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 19:15
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.310%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:15
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -1.66%E -0.454%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.66%E -0.454%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -10.14%E -8.24%K -44.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 19:15
SportsBet3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -2.47%E -0.681%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:59
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:15
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 19:15
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 19:15
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 19:15
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 19:15
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.00%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 19:15
PMU (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -4.35%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.58%EV -11.60%E -9.59%K -55.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-07 19:15
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 19:15
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 19:15
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Fliff3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -7.85%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.56%E -2.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 18:59
1xBet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -9.47%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 19:00
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 19:00
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-07 19:15
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 18:59
ReBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 18:59
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.56%E -2.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 19:00
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.30%E -3.28%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 19:15
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 19:15
LowVig.ag3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -11.36%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 19:10
BetOnline.ag3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -11.36%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 19:10
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 19:00
Betclic (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-07 19:10
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -14.32%E -4.50%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -1.37%E -1.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:59
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -15.13%E -4.80%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV +0.088%E +0.064%K +0.237%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 18:54
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.643%E -0.473%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:00
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.10%E -1.57%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 18:59
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -16.48%E -5.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 18:58
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -19.17%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -1.37%E -1.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -19.17%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -1.37%E -1.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 19:00
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -19.17%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%1.9%2026-05-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%2.6%2026-05-07 19:15
Novig3.53I 28.33%NM 26.15%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%8.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%9.0%2026-05-07 19:15