Language:English
Liudmila Samsonova v Anastasia Potapova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liudmila Samsonova (Local)
Prediction 37.99%2.63fair odd
EV +2.58%
Edge +0.955%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.10%38.12%37.97%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.482.502.7042.55%40.26%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anastasia Potapova (Visit)
Prediction 62.01%1.61fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.885%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%61.88%62.03%64.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.57%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liudmila Samsonova (Local): 37.99%; Anastasia Potapova (Visit): 62.01%. For Liudmila Samsonova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +2.58%E +0.955%K +1.52%G +0.039% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -9.47%E -6.49%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:17 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.081%E -0.031%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.23%E -5.56%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.461%E -0.176%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 11:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.65%E -1.69%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 11:16 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -3.50%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.65%E -1.69%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.26%E -1.69%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.26%E -1.69%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:17 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:17 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.78%E -2.33%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -6.16%E -2.49%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.41%E -0.885%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 11:18 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -6.16%E -2.49%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.41%E -0.885%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 11:18 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -10.09%E -6.96%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -8.06%E -3.33%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -2.03%E -1.28%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.11%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 11:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.58%E -4.02%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.96%E -4.20%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.96%E -4.20%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 11:17 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 11:17 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 11:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 0.1% | 2026-05-10 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 0.1% | 2026-05-10 11:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 11:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 11:20 |