L’École des cotes

Liudmila Samsonova v Anastasia Potapova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 11:22 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Prévision 37.99%2.63cote équitable
EV +2.58%
Avantage +0.955%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.039%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.10%38.12%37.97%39.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.482.502.7042.55%40.26%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anastasia Potapova (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.01%1.61cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.885%
Kelly -2.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.10%61.88%62.03%64.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.57%65.36%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +2.58%E +0.955%K +1.52%G +0.039%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -9.47%E -6.49%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 11:17
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.081%E -0.031%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.23%E -5.56%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 11:19
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.461%E -0.176%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 11:15
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 11:20
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.65%E -1.69%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 11:16
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 11:09
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:14
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 11:19
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -3.50%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.65%E -1.69%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 11:15
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.26%E -1.69%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 11:19
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.26%E -1.69%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 11:20
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:17
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:17
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 11:09
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.78%E -2.33%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 11:19
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -6.16%E -2.49%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.41%E -0.885%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 11:18
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -6.16%E -2.49%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.41%E -0.885%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 11:18
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:19
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:19
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -10.09%E -6.96%K -22.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -8.06%E -3.33%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -2.03%E -1.28%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 11:19
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 11:19
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 11:19
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 11:19
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:19
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 11:19
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.11%K -15.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 11:18
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.58%E -4.02%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 11:19
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.96%E -4.20%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 11:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.96%E -4.20%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 11:19
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 11:17
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 11:17
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%0.1%2026-05-10 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%0.1%2026-05-10 11:20
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-05-10 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-05-10 11:20
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%1.9%2026-05-10 11:20
Novig2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.9%2026-05-10 11:20