La escuela de los momios

Liudmila Samsonova v Anastasia Potapova

Inicio: 2026-05-10 11:22 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Predicción 37.99%2.63momio equitativo
EV +2.58%
Ventaja +0.955%
Kelly +1.52%
Crecimiento +0.039%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.10%38.12%37.97%39.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.482.502.7042.55%40.26%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anastasia Potapova (Visitante)

Predicción 62.01%1.61momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.885%
Kelly -2.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.10%61.88%62.03%64.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.57%65.36%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +2.58%E +0.955%K +1.52%G +0.039%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -9.47%E -6.49%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 11:17
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.081%E -0.031%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.23%E -5.56%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 11:19
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.461%E -0.176%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 11:15
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 11:20
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.65%E -1.69%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 11:16
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 11:09
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:14
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 11:19
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -3.50%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.65%E -1.69%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 11:15
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.26%E -1.69%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 11:19
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.26%E -1.69%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 11:20
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:17
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:17
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 11:09
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.78%E -2.33%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 11:19
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -6.16%E -2.49%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.41%E -0.885%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 11:18
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -6.16%E -2.49%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.41%E -0.885%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 11:18
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:19
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:19
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -10.09%E -6.96%K -22.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -8.06%E -3.33%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -2.03%E -1.28%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 11:19
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 11:19
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 11:19
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 11:19
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:19
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 11:19
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.11%K -15.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 11:18
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.58%E -4.02%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 11:19
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.96%E -4.20%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 11:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.96%E -4.20%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 11:19
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 11:17
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 11:17
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%0.1%2026-05-10 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%0.1%2026-05-10 11:20
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-05-10 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-05-10 11:20
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%1.9%2026-05-10 11:20
Novig2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.9%2026-05-10 11:20