Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Liudmila Samsonova v Anastasia Potapova

Início: 2026-05-10 11:22 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Previsão 37.99%2.63odd justa
EV +2.58%
Vantagem +0.955%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescimento +0.039%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.10%38.12%37.97%39.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.482.502.7042.55%40.26%40.00%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anastasia Potapova (Visitante)

Previsão 62.01%1.61odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.885%
Kelly -2.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.10%61.88%62.03%64.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.57%65.36%62.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Liudmila Samsonova (Local): 37.99%; Anastasia Potapova (Visitante): 62.01%. Para Liudmila Samsonova (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.63. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.58%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +2.58%E +0.955%K +1.52%G +0.039%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -9.47%E -6.49%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 11:17
DraftKings🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.081%E -0.031%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.23%E -5.56%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 11:19
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.461%E -0.176%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 11:15
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.65%E -1.69%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 11:16
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 11:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 11:19
GTbets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -3.50%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.65%E -1.69%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 11:15
SportsBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.26%E -1.69%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 11:19
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.26%E -1.69%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 11:20
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:17
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:17
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 11:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.78%E -2.33%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 11:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -6.16%E -2.49%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.41%E -0.885%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 11:18
BetOnline.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -6.16%E -2.49%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.41%E -0.885%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 11:18
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:19
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -10.09%E -6.96%K -22.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -8.06%E -3.33%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -2.03%E -1.28%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 11:19
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 11:19
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 11:19
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 11:19
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:19
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 11:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.61%E -5.11%K -15.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 11:18
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.58%E -4.02%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 11:19
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.96%E -4.20%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 11:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.96%E -4.20%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 11:19
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 11:17
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 11:17
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%0.1%2026-05-10 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%0.1%2026-05-10 11:20
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-05-10 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-05-10 11:20
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%1.9%2026-05-10 11:20
Novig2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.9%2026-05-10 11:20