Language:English
Elise Mertens v Mirra Andreeva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elise Mertens (Local)
Prediction 26.26%3.81fair odd
EV +13.17%
Edge +3.06%
Kelly +3.98%
Growth +0.524%
assuming max odds 4.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.06%26.04%26.30%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.503.504.3133.33%28.55%28.57%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mirra Andreeva (Visit)
Prediction 73.74%1.36fair odd
EV +0.289%
Edge +0.212%
Kelly +0.802%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%73.96%73.70%77.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.291.291.3683.33%77.58%77.52%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elise Mertens (Local): 26.26%; Mirra Andreeva (Visit): 73.74%. For Elise Mertens (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV +13.17%E +3.06%K +3.98%G +0.524% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +12.91%E +3.00%K +3.91%G +0.505% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +5.03%E +1.26%K +1.68%G +0.084% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +5.03%E +1.26%K +1.68%G +0.084% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV +3.72%E +0.942%K +1.26%G +0.047% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -11.51%E -9.59%K -57.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.53%E -0.408%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -1.53%E -0.408%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 12:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.31%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 12:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.00%EV -7.31%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.00%EV -8.56%E -6.90%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78%EV -7.83%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22%EV -0.449%E -0.332%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -11.51%E -9.59%K -57.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -9.15%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.66%E -2.02%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 12:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -1.19%E -0.885%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -1.19%E -0.885%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 12:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 12:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -13.35%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -13.35%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -2.66%E -2.02%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV +0.289%E +0.212%K +0.802%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV +0.289%E +0.212%K +0.802%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV +0.289%E +0.212%K +0.802%G +0.002% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 12:43 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -1.19%E -0.885%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 12:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -21.23%E -7.08%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 12:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80% | 3.3% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 12:35 |