Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elise Mertens v Mirra Andreeva

Início: 2026-05-11 12:46 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elise Mertens (Local)

Previsão 26.26%3.81odd justa
EV +13.17%
Vantagem +3.06%
Kelly +3.98%
Crescimento +0.524%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.06%26.04%26.30%30.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.503.504.3133.33%28.55%28.57%23.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mirra Andreeva (Visitante)

Previsão 73.74%1.36odd justa
EV +0.289%
Vantagem +0.212%
Kelly +0.802%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.28%73.96%73.70%77.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.291.291.3683.33%77.58%77.52%73.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Elise Mertens (Local): 26.26%; Mirra Andreeva (Visitante): 73.74%. Para Elise Mertens (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.81. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.31, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +13.17%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV +13.17%E +3.06%K +3.98%G +0.524%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 12:44
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +12.91%E +3.00%K +3.91%G +0.505%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +5.03%E +1.26%K +1.68%G +0.084%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +5.03%E +1.26%K +1.68%G +0.084%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV +3.72%E +0.942%K +1.26%G +0.047%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -11.51%E -9.59%K -57.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 12:45
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.53%E -0.408%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 12:45
Fanatics🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -1.53%E -0.408%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 12:44
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 12:45
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 12:44
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 12:39
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 12:45
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 12:45
Bally Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 12:44
Casumo🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 12:44
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 12:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 12:44
theScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:45
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 12:45
1xBet🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.31%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 12:34
Betclic (FR)🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.00%EV -7.31%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.00%EV -8.56%E -6.90%K -35.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 12:44
Pinnacle🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78%EV -7.83%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22%EV -0.449%E -0.332%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-11 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 12:44
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:45
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -11.51%E -9.59%K -57.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-11 12:44
SportsBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -9.15%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 12:44
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 12:44
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 12:44
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-11 12:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 12:44
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.66%E -2.02%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 12:44
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 12:44
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 12:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 12:45
Fliff🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 12:34
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -1.19%E -0.885%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 12:45
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -1.19%E -0.885%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 12:40
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 12:34
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -13.35%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -13.35%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -2.66%E -2.02%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV +0.289%E +0.212%K +0.802%G +0.002%4.3%2026-05-11 12:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV +0.289%E +0.212%K +0.802%G +0.002%4.3%2026-05-11 12:44
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 12:44
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV +0.289%E +0.212%K +0.802%G +0.002%5.8%2026-05-11 12:43
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -1.19%E -0.885%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 12:45
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 12:44
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 12:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 12:34
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -21.23%E -7.08%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 12:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-05-11 12:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-05-11 12:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-05-11 12:45
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%1.4%2026-05-11 12:45
Novig4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%3.3%2026-05-11 12:45
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%8.0%2026-05-11 12:35