مدرسة الاحتمالات

Elise Mertens v Mirra Andreeva

البداية: 2026-05-11 12:46 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Elise Mertens (المضيف)

التنبؤ 26.26%3.81السعر العادل
EV +13.17%
الأفضلية +3.06%
Kelly +3.98%
النمو +0.524%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.06%26.04%26.30%30.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.503.504.3133.33%28.55%28.57%23.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mirra Andreeva (الضيف)

التنبؤ 73.74%1.36السعر العادل
EV +0.289%
الأفضلية +0.212%
Kelly +0.802%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.28%73.96%73.70%77.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.291.291.3683.33%77.58%77.52%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV +13.17%E +3.06%K +3.98%G +0.524%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 12:44
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +12.91%E +3.00%K +3.91%G +0.505%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 12:45
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +5.03%E +1.26%K +1.68%G +0.084%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 12:45
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +5.03%E +1.26%K +1.68%G +0.084%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 12:45
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV +3.72%E +0.942%K +1.26%G +0.047%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -11.51%E -9.59%K -57.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 12:45
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.53%E -0.408%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 12:45
Fanatics3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -1.53%E -0.408%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 12:44
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 12:45
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 12:45
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 12:44
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 12:39
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 12:45
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 12:45
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 12:45
Bally Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 12:45
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 12:44
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 12:44
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 12:44
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 12:44
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:45
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 12:45
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.31%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 12:34
Betclic (FR)3.53I 28.33%NM 26.00%EV -7.31%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.00%EV -8.56%E -6.90%K -35.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 12:44
Pinnacle3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78%EV -7.83%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22%EV -0.449%E -0.332%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-11 12:45
Marathon Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 12:44
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:45
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:45
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:45
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 12:45
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -11.51%E -9.59%K -57.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-11 12:44
SportsBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -9.15%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 12:44
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 12:44
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 12:44
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-11 12:45
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 12:44
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.66%E -2.02%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 12:44
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 12:44
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 12:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 12:45
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 12:34
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -1.19%E -0.885%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 12:45
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -1.19%E -0.885%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 12:40
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 12:34
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -13.35%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 12:35
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -13.35%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -2.66%E -2.02%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:34
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV +0.289%E +0.212%K +0.802%G +0.002%4.3%2026-05-11 12:44
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV +0.289%E +0.212%K +0.802%G +0.002%4.3%2026-05-11 12:44
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 12:44
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV +0.289%E +0.212%K +0.802%G +0.002%5.8%2026-05-11 12:43
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -1.19%E -0.885%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 12:45
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 12:44
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 12:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 12:34
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -21.23%E -7.08%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 12:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-05-11 12:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-05-11 12:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-05-11 12:45
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%1.4%2026-05-11 12:45
Novig4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%3.3%2026-05-11 12:45
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%8.0%2026-05-11 12:35