La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Elise Mertens v Mirra Andreeva
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elise Mertens (Local)
Predicción 26.26%3.81momio equitativo
EV +13.17%
Ventaja +3.06%
Kelly +3.98%
Crecimiento +0.524%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.06%26.04%26.30%30.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.503.504.3133.33%28.55%28.57%23.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mirra Andreeva (Visitante)
Predicción 73.74%1.36momio equitativo
EV +0.289%
Ventaja +0.212%
Kelly +0.802%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.28%73.96%73.70%77.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.291.291.3683.33%77.58%77.52%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV +13.17%E +3.06%K +3.98%G +0.524% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +12.91%E +3.00%K +3.91%G +0.505% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +5.03%E +1.26%K +1.68%G +0.084% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +5.03%E +1.26%K +1.68%G +0.084% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV +3.72%E +0.942%K +1.26%G +0.047% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -11.51%E -9.59%K -57.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.53%E -0.408%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Fanatics | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -1.53%E -0.408%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 12:39 |
| Grosvenor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Bally Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Casumo | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| betPARX | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| theScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| 1xBet | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.31%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 12:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.00%EV -7.31%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.00%EV -8.56%E -6.90%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Pinnacle | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78%EV -7.83%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22%EV -0.449%E -0.332%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -11.51%E -9.59%K -57.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| SportsBet | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -9.15%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| TABtouch | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.66%E -2.02%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Caesars | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Fliff | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 12:34 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -1.19%E -0.885%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -1.19%E -0.885%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 12:40 |
| Bet Right | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 12:34 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -13.35%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 12:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -13.35%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -2.66%E -2.02%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV +0.289%E +0.212%K +0.802%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV +0.289%E +0.212%K +0.802%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV +0.289%E +0.212%K +0.802%G +0.002% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 12:43 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -1.19%E -0.885%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 12:44 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 12:34 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -21.23%E -7.08%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -1.92%E -1.45%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 12:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Matchbook | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Novig | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80% | 3.3% | 2026-05-11 12:45 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 12:35 |