Language:English
Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Sinja Kraus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local)
Prediction 55.58%1.80fair odd
EV +0.039%
Edge +0.021%
Kelly +0.048%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%55.48%55.57%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.8061.73%58.68%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sinja Kraus (Visit)
Prediction 44.42%2.25fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.52%44.43%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.142.2050.00%47.19%46.73%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local): 55.58%; Sinja Kraus (Visit): 44.42%. For Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.799. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.800, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.039%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.039%E +0.021%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -0.517%E -0.289%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.07%E -0.603%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -7.16%E -3.42%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.07%E -0.603%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -7.16%E -3.42%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.63%E -0.920%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 18:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.74%E -1.57%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.30%E -1.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.30%E -1.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:03 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.41%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.41%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.96%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.96%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.38%E -2.53%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.60%E -1.66%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.97%E -6.15%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.7% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |